Monday, March 3, 2014

Guidebook for growth curve analysis

I don't usually like to use complex statistical methods, but every once in a while I encounter a method that is so useful that I can't avoid using it. Around the time I started doing eye-tracking research (as a post-doc with Jim Magnuson), people were starting recognize the value of using longitudinal data analysis techniques to analyze fixation time course data. Jim was ahead of most in this regard (Magnuson et al., 2007) and a special issue of the Journal of Memory and Language on data analysis methods gave as a great opportunity to describe how to apply "Growth Curve Analysis" (GCA) - a type of multilevel regression - to fixation time course data (Mirman, Dixon, & Magnuson, 2008). Unbeknownst to us, Dale Barr was working on very similar methods, though for somewhat different reasons, and our articles ended up neighbors in the special issue (Barr, 2008).

Growth Curve Analysis and Visualization Using R
In the several years since those papers came out, it has become clear to me that other researchers would like to use GCA, but reading our paper and downloading our code examples was often not enough for them to be able to apply GCA to their own data. There are excellent multilevel regression textbooks out there, but I think it is safe to say that it's a rare cognitive or behavioral scientist who has the time and inclination to work through a 600-page advanced regression textbook. It seemed like a more practical guidebook to implementing GCA was needed, so I wrote one and it has just been published by Chapman & Hall / CRC Press as part of their R Series.

My idea was to write a relatively easy-to-understand book that dealt with the practical issues of implementing GCA using R. I assumed basic knowledge of behavioral statistics (standard coursework in graduate behavioral science programs) and minimal familiarity with R, but no expertise in computer programming or the specific R packages required for implementation (primarily lme4 and ggplot2). In addition to the core issues of fitting growth curve models and interpreting the results, the book covers plotting time course data and model fits and analyzing individual differences. Example data sets and solutions to the exercises in the book are available on my GCA website.

Obviously, the main point of this book is to help other cognitive and behavioral scientists to use GCA, but I hope it will also encourage them to make better graphs and to analyze individual differences. I think individual differences are very important to cognitive science, but most statistical methods treat them as just noise, so maybe having better methods will lead to better science, though this might be a subject for a different post. Comments and feedback about the book are, of course, most welcome.  

8 comments:

  1. Great, thanks a lot for this! To what extent did you test GCA using other eye-tracking paradigms besides the visual world experiment? I am dealing with an object memory task and to investigate growth curves would be really helpful.

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    1. I tried to write the book to be about using GCA with time course data in general, not just for visual world paradigm experiments. Since my experience involves a lot of VWP experiments, I ended up using a lot of those examples, but there are other examples too -- recovery from brain injury, word learning, reading development, change in suicide rates, etc. I hope you'll find it helpful.

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    2. Alright, I will check it out, thanks for the reply!

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  2. Hello Dan, I was wondering whether your book covers multivariate growth curve analysis. I've got longitudinal data for two variables and I'm interested in their individual change over time but also in the between-variables correlations over time. Thanks!

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    1. My book covers combining multiple predictors, but I think you have something more complex in mind, which is not covered.

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  3. Thank you, Dan. Your follow up email was very useful too.

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  4. Where can I get the data set amant.ex that is used in chapter 2 (page 25)? Should I install some other packages? Thank you.

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    1. The amantadine and ELDEL data were not my data and I do not have permission to share them. I included those in the book to have a broader range of examples. I hope you can learn what you need from seeing those examples and trying things out on the data that I can share and on your own data.

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